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Websim Technical Analysis, April 4, 2022: LONG NIO

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Websim is the retail division of Intermonte, the primary intermediary of the Italian stock exchange for institutional investors. Leverage Shares often features in its speculative analysis based on macros/fundamentals. However, the information is published in Italian. To provide better information for our non-Italian investors, we bring to you a quick translation of the analysis they present to Italian retail investors. To ensure rapid delivery, text in the charts will not be translated. The views expressed here are of Websim. Leverage Shares in no way endorses these views. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment, please seek financial advice. View the original at websim.it

NIO released fourth quarter 2021 earnings that missed analyst estimates. Dynamics linked to supply chain pressures throughout the year. The Shanghai-based company reported a net loss of 2.14 billion yuan (US $ 336.4 million) in the three months ended December 31. Analysts estimated a red of 1.51 billion yuan, according to Bloomberg consensus data. Revenue increased 49% from a year earlier to 9.9 billion yuan. The price of lithium has risen nearly 500% over the past year, adding cost pressures for EV makers. Chief William Li said: “We are still facing the challenges of increasing volatility in chip supplies, rising raw material costs, Covid, and the challenges in the changing international situation. 91,429 vehicles were delivered in 2021, which helped Nio achieve annual revenue of 36.1 billion yuan, in line with the projected 35.8 billion yuan. Just over 25,000 vehicles were shipped in the last quarter. Electric vehicle sales in China increased nearly 170% last year, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. This underlines the potential of the Chinese market, which is the reference for the electric car sector. It is also important to note that the group has increased its 2022 sales forecast to more than 5.5 million, from a previous estimate of 4.8 million, in part because the tightening of the supply chain begins to loosen. which helped Nio achieve annual revenue of 36.1 billion yuan, in line with the projected 35.8 billion yuan. Just over 25,000 vehicles were shipped in the last quarter. Electric vehicle sales in China increased nearly 170% last year, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. This underlines the potential of the Chinese market, which is the reference for the electric car sector. It is also important to note that the group has increased its 2022 sales forecast to more than 5.5 million, from a previous estimate of 4.8 million, in part because the tightening of the supply chain begins to loosen. which helped Nio achieve annual revenue of 36.1 billion yuan, in line with the projected 35.8 billion yuan. Just over 25,000 vehicles were shipped in the last quarter. Electric vehicle sales in China increased nearly 170% last year, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. This underlines the potential of the Chinese market, which is the reference for the electric car sector. It is also important to note that the group has increased its 2022 sales forecast to more than 5.5 million, from a previous estimate of 4.8 million, in part because the tightening of the supply chain begins to loosen. 000 vehicles were shipped in the last quarter. Electric vehicle sales in China increased nearly 170% last year, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. This underlines the potential of the Chinese market, which is the reference for the electric car sector. It is also important to note that the group has increased its 2022 sales forecast to more than 5.5 million, from a previous estimate of 4.8 million, in part because the tightening of the supply chain begins to loosen. 000 vehicles were shipped in the last quarter. Electric vehicle sales in China increased nearly 170% last year, according to data from the China Passenger Car Association. This underlines the potential of the Chinese market, which is the reference for the electric car sector. It is also important to note that the group has increased its 2022 sales forecast to more than 5.5 million, from a previous estimate of 4.8 million, in part because the tightening of the supply chain begins to loosen.

In fact, therefore, the accounts were below expectations but the guidance was raised. All this could result in a few sessions of volatility and then start up again. The more conservative could close the trade also given the presence of the weekend. For now let’s keep the long and see how it evolves.

Yesterday, NIO [NIO] closed at $21.98 (+0.5%). Today, in pre-trading, it is -2.1%. After the highs in the $70 area, the stock started a sharp decline that led it to break the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $26.28. The break confirmed NIO’s weakness by initiating further falls to the low of $13, with a loss from the highs of more than 80%. From $13, the stock has started a strong rebound exceeding $20. The accounts have taken profits on the stock. Up to $18.4, we are buyers. In the event of a downward break, the closing up of the gap on March 16th is possible.

We recommend going LONG on the stock by buying the Leverage Shares 3X NIO ETP (ISIN: XS2399365472) also listed on Borsa Italiana for a short term targets of around $26. Alert/stop loss should be below $18 (daily closing). From an investment perspective, however, we highlight the stock tracker certificates with 1x leverage (ISIN: XS2337093871).


The information provided by Websim, a division of Intermonte SIM, a company authorised by CONSOB to provide investment services and registered in the Italian SIM under no. 246, are obtained from sources deemed reliable (of which the company is not able to guarantee the absolute completeness and accuracy) and in any case, if there are doubts about their reliability, this will be clearly indicated. The main purpose of the site is to provide a set of updated and accurate information, studies and analyses in compliance with the provisions of the “recommendations” in current legislation and does not represent a “solicitation to invest” pursuant to art. 1, paragraph 1, lett. t) of Legislative Decree 58/1998.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Sandeep Rao

Research

Sandeep joined Leverage Shares in September 2020. He leads research on existing and new product lines, asset classes, and strategies, with special emphasis on analysis of recent events and developments.

Sandeep has longstanding experience with financial markets. Starting with a Chicago-based hedge fund as a financial engineer, his career has spanned a variety of domains and organizations over a course of 8 years – from Barclays Capital’s Prime Services Division to (most recently) Nasdaq’s Index Research Team.

Sandeep holds an M.S. in Finance as well as an MBA from Illinois Institute of Technology Chicago.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian joined Leverage Shares in 2018 as part of the company’s primary expansion in Eastern Europe. He is responsible for web content and raising brand awareness.

Julian has been academically involved with economics, psychology, sociology, European politics & linguistics. He has experience in business development and marketing through business ventures of his own.

For Julian, Leverage Shares is an innovator in the field of finance & fintech, and he always looks forward with excitement to share the next big news with investors in the UK & Europe.

Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta joined Leverage Shares in September 2022. She is responsible for conducting technical analysis, macro and equity research, providing valuable insights to help shape investment strategies for clients.

Prior to joining LS, Violeta worked at several high-profile investment firms in Australia, such as Tollhurst and Morgans Financial where she spent the past 12 years of her career.

Violeta is a certified market technician from the Australian Technical Analysts Association and holds a Post Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, where she was a lecturer for a number of years.

Oktay Kavrak

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Oktay joined Leverage Shares in late 2019. He is responsible for driving business growth by maintaining key relationships and developing sales activity across English-speaking markets.

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Oktay holds a BA in Finance & Accounting and a post-graduate certificate in Entrepreneurship from Babson College. He is also a CFA charterholder.