Commodities are the driving force behind the global economy, presenting
unique opportunities for professional investors to capitalise on their
dynamic price changes. However, engaging in commodities investing requires
knowledge and may entail higher risk compared to traditional asset classes
such as stocks and bonds.
These raw materials are the bedrock of the global economy, exerting
significant influence across many industries. The combination of price
volatility, high market liquidity, and the potential for portfolio
diversification, makes commodity trading particularly attractive to
traders.
What Are Commodities?
Commodities are raw materials integral to the production of finished goods,
such as agricultural products, mineral ores, and fossil fuels. Within the
context of financial markets, commodities are physical goods that are
bought, sold, and traded in markets, unlike stocks and bonds that exist
solely as financial contracts.
Main types of commodities:
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Energy: The energy sector includes vital resources
like oil, natural gas, coal, ethanol, and uranium. Energy also extends
to renewable energy sources such as wind power and solar power.
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Metals: Commodity metals fall into two main
categories: precious metals and industrial metals. Precious metals
include gold, silver, palladium, and platinum, while industrial metals
are any type of base metals used for industrial purposes and consist of
iron ore, tin, copper, aluminium, and zinc.
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Agricultural commodities: Agricultural products include
both consumable and non-consumable goods. Edible products include
commodities like cocoa, grain, sugar, and wheat. Non-edible items
include cotton, palm oil and rubber.
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Livestock. Livestock covers all live animals, such as
cattle and hogs.
Investors participating in the commodity market strategically aim to take
advantage from supply and demand trends or mitigate risk by diversifying
their portfolios by including different asset classes.
Advantages of investing in commodities
In the last decade, investors have been increasingly exploring new
investment markets. Currently, commodities stand out as one of the most
popular asset classes, offering unique advantages, notably a negative
correlation with the stock market.
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Portfolio diversification:Commodities exhibit low
or negative correlation with traditional asset classes like stocks
and bonds. This unique characteristic makes them an effective tool
for portfolio diversification, offering a hedge against market
volatility. The inclusion of commodities in a portfolio
contributes to risk reduction and enhances overall
diversification.
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Hedge against inflation: Commodities can serve as a
robust hedge during periods of high inflation. Historically commodities
have often performed well during inflationary periods, even when shares
and bonds have experienced declines. As demand for goods and services
rises, leading increased prices, the value of commodities used in
production tends to follow suit.
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High leverage: Commodity Exchange Traded Products
(ETPs) based on futures contracts provide investors with the
opportunity for high leverage. Investors can control a large position
by committing only a fraction of the contract value. Consequently, even
a small price movement in commodities can result in amplified gains or
losses, offering the potential for enhanced returns.
Commodities market investors strategically leverage these unique advantages
to optimise their portfolios, manage risk, and capitalise on the
ever-changing commodities prices.
How to Trade Commodities
Trading commodities presents a challenge due to the impracticality and
costliness of direct investments in physical assets. Consequently, only a
small number of investors choose to engage with commodities in their
tangible form. Instead, the majority opt for exposure through financial
instruments such as futures contracts, Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or
Exchange Traded Commodities (ETCs). Neither of these types of instruments
provides perfect price tracking of the day-to-day spot price movements of
the underlying commodities; however, each can offer some exposure.
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Futures contracts: Investors can gain exposure to
commodities through futures contracts. These contracts not only reflect
current price movements but also encapsulate market expectations for
future commodity prices. A futures contract is a commitment to buy or
sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specified future date. As
the contract approaches expiration, the fund may roll over the futures
position to avoid physical delivery of the commodity.
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Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and Exchange-Traded Commodities
(ETCs):
These investment vehicles offer an accessible avenue for investors to
participate in the commodities market. ETFs and ETCs are structured to
track single commodity prices or baskets of commodities, allowing
investors to trade these instruments on exchanges like stocks.
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Rollover and expiry: In the case of futures contracts,
the impending expiry date requires a strategic approach. To prevent
actual delivery of the commodity, funds engaging in futures contracts
typically employ rollover strategies. This involves transitioning from
one futures contract to another, thereby extending exposure without the
need for physical delivery.
Commodities ETCs and their role in a portfolio
Historically characterized by lower long-term returns and heightened
volatility, commodities require a cautious approach to portfolio
allocation. A prudent guideline suggests a modest, low double-digit
percentage allocation from the overall portfolio to commodities.
Commodities are a distinct asset class and exhibit a historical tendency to
behave differently from stocks and bonds. Their performance is less
dependent on business prospects or interest rates and more influenced by
factors such as supply and demand, weather patterns, and decisions by
entities like OPEC+.
The performance of commodities, in contrast to traditional assets, tends to
be marked by higher volatility and underperformance over longer periods.
However, commodities demonstrate strong trending over shorter periods,
presenting tactical trading opportunities for astute investors.
A prevalent motive for investing in commodities is their historical
alignment with rising inflation. In periods of either rising or persisting
inflation, a commodities allocation can prove beneficial. Additionally,
commodities can serve as a form of insurance against geopolitical risks,
such as wars or conflicts, impacting prices of essential commodities like
grains and energy.
Given the unique characteristics of commodities, investors are urged to
carefully assess their objectives and risk tolerance before incorporating
them into their portfolios. While commodities offer potential benefits,
including diversification and inflation protection, their distinct
performance drivers require a thoughtful approach to allocation.
Conclusion
Investors can gain exposure to commodities by investing in futures
contracts, ETFs or ETCs which directly track a specific commodity. These
are highly volatile and complex investments that are generally recommended
for sophisticated investors only.
Commodity ETCs provide investors with easy and inexpensive access to
various commodity markets, helping them diversify portfolios and offer a
hedge against inflation, and geo- political risks.
Individual commodity prices can fluctuate due to factors such as supply and
demand, exchange rates, inflation, and the overall health of the economy,
and display strong short term trends.