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Nvidia Smashes Estimates as AI Chips Demand Grows

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Nvidia reported exceptionally strong quarterly financial results on Wednesday, surpassing even the most optimistic projections for second quarter revenue. This outstanding performance was fuelled by the growing enthusiasm surrounding generative artificial intelligence. The company’s provided upbeat guidance, as the competitive race to implement generative artificial intelligence technology continues to drive heightened demand for Nvidia’s chips.

In a strategic move underscoring confidence in their market position, Nvidia announced a commitment to repurchase an additional $25 billion worth of its own shares. This ongoing stock buyback initiative is anticipated to persist throughout the year, notwithstanding the fact that Nvidia’s stock valuation has surged by over threefold within this year alone. Such actions serve as indicators of the management’s belief that the company is currently undervalued.

For the second quarter, Nvidia reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.70, surpassing analyst projections by $0.63 from the anticipated $2.07. The company’s revenue for the quarter amounted to $13.51 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $11.13 billion. Looking ahead, Nvidia projects a third quarter revenue of $16.00 billion, notably higher than the analyst consensus of $12.61 billion. Given the ongoing supply-demand dynamics, there is a possibility that the company might outperform its own guidance for the upcoming quarter.

The high-margin data centre segment witnessed a remarkable 171% surge, reaching a record $10.32 billion in the second quarter compared to the corresponding period last year. This substantial growth is attributed to the corporate transition towards accelerated computing and generative AI, supplanting traditional general-purpose computing.

As the demand for AI-related technologies intensifies, Nvidia’s suite of AI-oriented offerings, encompassing chips and a cloud service for training generative AI models, has emerged as the dominant choice for startups and businesses venturing into the AI sphere.

Nvidia has outlined plans to scale up hardware production well into the upcoming year. The company has effectively monopolized the computing systems pivotal for powering services like ChatGPT and OpenAI. This demand surge is primarily propelled by the shift from conventional central processor-based data centres to Nvidia’s potent chips, coupled with the expanding utilization of AI-generated content.

The heightened demand for these chips has propelled Nvidia’s financial standing, as evidenced by an adjusted gross margin of 71.2% in the second quarter. This figure stands in stark contrast to the gross margins ranging between 50% and 60% typically observed within the semiconductor sector.

Nvidia attributes its significant sales momentum in this period to the HGX system, an intricate computer system built around Nvidia’s proprietary chip. This comprehensive system’s complexity underscores the potential impact of any component shortfall on shipment timelines.

These latest financial outcomes also indicate an imminent surge in enterprise investment in AI. This trend is expected to benefit various AI-focused companies such as Microsoft, Google, Apple Inc., Oracle, Palantir Technologies Inc., MongoDB, Snowflake Inc., Salesforce, Advanced Micro Devices Inc., and C3.AI, among others.

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Source: TradingView, Nvidia Yearly Chart

Nvidia’s shares have surged threefold in value over the course of this year, largely fuelled by an exceptionally positive forecast in May that lifted the company’s market capitalization beyond the $1 trillion mark—a valuation comparable to tech giants like Amazon and Apple.

The better-than-expected guidance provided by Nvidia could serve as the catalyst to sustain this upward momentum, potentially extending the ongoing rally throughout the remainder of the year.

Active traders looking for magnified exposure to NVIDIA may consider our +3x Long NVIDIA and -3x Short NVIDIA ETPs.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Sandeep joined Leverage Shares in September 2020. He leads research on existing and new product lines, asset classes, and strategies, with special emphasis on analysis of recent events and developments.

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Violeta joined Leverage Shares in September 2022. She is responsible for conducting technical analysis, macro and equity research, providing valuable insights to help shape investment strategies for clients.

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