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Nvidia's Strategic Manoeuvring

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  • Nvidia circumvents China ban with new line-up
  • US chipmaker share price reaches an all-time high

In a remarkable display of resilience and innovation, Nvidia has adeptly navigated the challenges posed by the US government’s restrictions on the sale of advanced semiconductors to China.

In October of last year, these regulations came into effect, significantly impacting Nvidia’s business strategy by negatively impacting its ability to sell its high-end chips in China.

The company’s engineers, in response, shifted focus towards the development of lower-powered chips.

This strategic pivot ensured compliance with the new US standards while maintaining their presence in the Chinese market.

Despite Nvidia’s efforts to adapt to the new rules set by the Biden Administration, industry giants like Alibaba and Tencent, which rank among Nvidia’s most prominent global clients, have scaled back their orders.

Additionally, the rise of domestic semiconductor manufacturers in China, such as Huawei, escalated the problems for Nvidia.

In the short term, geological conflicts between the US and the People’s Republic of China might not be a big issue for Nvidia, which can find other buyers for its AI Chips.

However, in the long run, this could be problematic for Nvidia, which relies on over 20% of its top line from China, and if we include Taiwan into the equation, the percentage jumps to 45%.

Adding to that worry was NVIDIA’s CFO, who said last year that this (restrictions) could have a significant impact (on Nvidia’s long-run sales).

On top of that, U.S. regulators have pledged to review the chip-export controls regularly and could further tighten export restrictions.

Navigating Geopolitical Tensions

The semiconductor industry is at the forefront of the US-China geopolitical tensions, with the US regularly reviewing chip-export controls.

This evolving regulatory landscape could impose further constraints on Nvidia’s operations, presenting a continual risk. China’s ambition to be a leader in AI technology only heightens these tensions, potentially affecting Nvidia’s long-term sales in the world’s second-largest economy.

Nvidia’s Resilience

Despite the geopolitical tensions, the company’s stock prices soared to an all-time high north of $531 a share, showcasing investors’ confidence in its ability to overcome regulatory hurdles.

Also, the company’s equity is up nearly 250% in the last year.

Nvidia’s ability to innovate, combined with its strategic moves to comply with international regulations, positions it well amidst uncertainties.

However, the long-term implications of geopolitical tensions and emerging domestic competition in key markets like China remain pivotal factors in shaping Nvidia’s journey.


Investors can long Nvidia using our 2x NVIDIA , 3x NVIDIA .

Alternatively, investors can short Nvidia using our -1x NVIDIA , -3x NVIDIA .

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Sandeep Rao

Research

Sandeep joined Leverage Shares in September 2020. He leads research on existing and new product lines, asset classes, and strategies, with special emphasis on analysis of recent events and developments.

Sandeep has longstanding experience with financial markets. Starting with a Chicago-based hedge fund as a financial engineer, his career has spanned a variety of domains and organizations over a course of 8 years – from Barclays Capital’s Prime Services Division to (most recently) Nasdaq’s Index Research Team.

Sandeep holds an M.S. in Finance as well as an MBA from Illinois Institute of Technology Chicago.

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For Julian, Leverage Shares is an innovator in the field of finance & fintech, and he always looks forward with excitement to share the next big news with investors in the UK & Europe.

Violeta Todorova

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Violeta joined Leverage Shares in September 2022. She is responsible for conducting technical analysis, macro and equity research, providing valuable insights to help shape investment strategies for clients.

Prior to joining LS, Violeta worked at several high-profile investment firms in Australia, such as Tollhurst and Morgans Financial where she spent the past 12 years of her career.

Violeta is a certified market technician from the Australian Technical Analysts Association and holds a Post Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, where she was a lecturer for a number of years.

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He joined Leverage Shares from UniCredit, where he was a corporate relationship manager for multinationals. His previous experience is in corporate finance and fund administration at firms like IBM Bulgaria and DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay holds a BA in Finance & Accounting and a post-graduate certificate in Entrepreneurship from Babson College. He is also a CFA charterholder.

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