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Trading the Resurgent Energy Sector with Leveraged

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Websim is the retail division of Intermonte, the primary intermediary of the Italian stock exchange for institutional investors. Leverage Shares often features in its speculative analysis based on macros/fundamentals. However, the information is published in Italian. To provide better information for our non-Italian investors, we bring to you a quick translation of the analysis they present to Italian retail investors. To ensure rapid delivery, text in the charts will not be translated. The views expressed here are of Websim. Leverage Shares in no way endorses these views. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment, please seek financial advice. View the original at

A potent combination of soaring inflation and hawkish Fed interest rate hikes have sent markets into a freefall and arguably bear territory.

Year-to-date (YTD), the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX) indexes are down over -18% and –27% respectively as high-valuation tech growth stocks faltered. Even traditionally resilient sectors like consumer staples have suffered severe losses, dragged down by disappointing earnings reports from Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT).

However, there is an exception the energy sector. Having benefited from soaring commodity prices, supply chain constraints, and geopolitical crisis in Ukraine, the sector has soared, marking a significant reversal from its pandemic-era lows.

Trading the energy sector

YTD, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is up over 42%, significantly outperforming the other 11 sectors and the market as a whole. Energy sector companies have enjoyed stronger balance sheets, cashflow, revenues, and earnings.

Investors looking to trade the energy sector can go long and short via a variety of instruments. Some investors may elect to buy or short the stocks of large-cap energy sector companies such as Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron Corp (CVX).

For additional exposure, investors may elect to leverage up via portfolio margin. This is risky as margin is subject to borrow rates (which are expected to go up as various central banks initiate interest rate hikes) and the ever-present danger of a margin call should the value of your holdings fall.

Investors could also trade options. Buying out-of-the-money (OTM) calls or puts with a few days to a week until expiry could magnify losses and gains significantly. However, this exposes an investor’s capital to theta decay (the rate at which an options premium loses value over time), and implied volatility (IV) crush (the loss in an options premium due to suddenly decreased volatility, typically after earning are released). Options also expire, so a degree of market timing is required which causes additional risk.

A better way to manage risk

Investors may want to look instead at an instrument allowing them to participate fully in the upside, but capping their downside, with no risk of margin calls, theta decay, volatility crush, or expiration.

Leverage Share’s suite of exchange-traded products (ETPs) offer daily three times (3x) leveraged exposure to the performance of the energy sector (XLE). Investors can use these ETPs to ride the momentum both ways, by either going long with XL3, or going short with XLGS.

If you’re bullish or bearish on a particular single ticket, Leverage Shares also offers 3x daily leveraged long exposure and 1x daily inverse exposure to Royal Dutch Shell (SHEL) via RSH3 and RDSS. The same goes for BP plc (BP) via BP3L and BPS.

The physically backed nature of both ETPs ensures good liquidity and a narrow bid-ask spread, allowing you to enter and exit positions easily. Your risk is also capped based on how many shares you hold, making position sizing easy (just buy and sell shares) compared to maintaining margin requirements or calculating options delta exposure.

What’s next?

Regardless of your thesis for the energy sector, one thing remains certain: the market volatility will continue for the foreseeable future. While past performance is not indicative of future performance, trading around the recent momentum in the energy sector could be a profitable and rewarding endeavour. Using leveraged ETPs can help you achieve your desired risk/return profile more easily and efficiently.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Sandeep Rao

Research

Sandeep joined Leverage Shares in September 2020. He leads research on existing and new product lines, asset classes, and strategies, with special emphasis on analysis of recent events and developments.

Sandeep has longstanding experience with financial markets. Starting with a Chicago-based hedge fund as a financial engineer, his career has spanned a variety of domains and organizations over a course of 8 years – from Barclays Capital’s Prime Services Division to (most recently) Nasdaq’s Index Research Team.

Sandeep holds an M.S. in Finance as well as an MBA from Illinois Institute of Technology Chicago.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian joined Leverage Shares in 2018 as part of the company’s primary expansion in Eastern Europe. He is responsible for web content and raising brand awareness.

Julian has been academically involved with economics, psychology, sociology, European politics & linguistics. He has experience in business development and marketing through business ventures of his own.

For Julian, Leverage Shares is an innovator in the field of finance & fintech, and he always looks forward with excitement to share the next big news with investors in the UK & Europe.

Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta joined Leverage Shares in September 2022. She is responsible for conducting technical analysis, macro and equity research, providing valuable insights to help shape investment strategies for clients.

Prior to joining LS, Violeta worked at several high-profile investment firms in Australia, such as Tollhurst and Morgans Financial where she spent the past 12 years of her career.

Violeta is a certified market technician from the Australian Technical Analysts Association and holds a Post Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, where she was a lecturer for a number of years.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay joined Leverage Shares in late 2019. He is responsible for driving business growth by maintaining key relationships and developing sales activity across English-speaking markets.

He joined Leverage Shares from UniCredit, where he was a corporate relationship manager for multinationals. His previous experience is in corporate finance and fund administration at firms like IBM Bulgaria and DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay holds a BA in Finance & Accounting and a post-graduate certificate in Entrepreneurship from Babson College. He is also a CFA charterholder.