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Earnings season is upon us

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Over half of the S&P 500 constituents have reported their results for Q4 2019. There were many outperformers [like Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), and Netflix (NFLX)] as nearly 7 in 10 companies reported EPS above their estimates. Nevertheless, overall performance was less than stellar, as the percentage of companies with EPS beats trailеd behind the 5-year average.
Stocks often make move quicker than usual in the lead-up to quarterly results and right after the news. While some traders shy away from the action, many others try to capitalize on the increased volatility.

Occurring in January, April, July, and October, earnings season reflects one of the few times of the year when investors can take a peek inside and gauge the interim performance of companies. They reveal key information like sales, net income, and earnings per share (EPS). Good news from a firm often leads to a higher stock market open while bad news can send its stock tumbling.

4 ways to boost your trading using earnings reports

Trading earnings is generally considered risky as not only do the numbers have to be predicted, but so does the level of expectations. Inflated expectations can trample quality reports while low expectations may lead to struggling companies see their stock catapult. Generally announced outside of trading hours to avoid interrupting the trading day, reports are released either prior to market opening or after trading has halted. With thousands of companies to choose from, it is essential that investors narrow their universe to a few key companies and focus on those. Keep it simple.

    1.     Do your homework and analyze the estimates

It is the job of market analysts to read company reports and meet with management. This helps them make a consensus on whether earnings will rise or take a dip. The focus of the overall market isn’t necessarily on the announcement itself, but on how the figures stack up to the analysts’ expectations. As these can be revised leading up to the actual announcement date, it is essential that investors keep themselves updated as well. This means checking the overall state of the market and the company’s historical data for predicted vs. actual earnings.

    2.     Whatever the trading strategy, stick to it

Whether you are a day trader, swing trader or scalp trader – you should always have a clear trading strategy and stay on track. This rules-based mentality can help investors remove the emotional influences that can hinder trading. Earnings surprises can impact stock prices in either direction – this is exactly why risk management plays a crucial part of earnings season. Tools like stop losses and limit orders can place a buffer in limiting extreme movements.

    3.     Monitor the market

If a significant rise in price is expected, investors can benefit from either buying call options or products offering leveraged products, like Leverage Shares ETPs. In this manner, investors have increased exposure without having to shell out larger sums to buy additional amounts of the underlying security. For this reason, it is paramount that traders invest time to do their research and monitor the market. While earnings season is typically thought of in the perspective of its meaning for a single security, the season as a whole can highlight macroeconomic trends.

    4.     Analyze the results

Following your trading session, regardless of the outcome, it is imperative that investors review their results. What was the plan going into the trade, what was the outcome, what needs to be improved? It goes without saying that results are not always black and white. The relationship between earnings results and the following price reaction is not always straightforward. Earnings beats do not always translate into price gains just as missed do not always lead to price declines (evident in the chart below).
Conclusion

With all this in mind, it’s usually best to differentiate between a trade and an investment. While trading the earnings can prove to be lucrative, it’s not without additional risks. A solid performance during a quarter could be indicative of future profits to come. It could also be the last stride for a struggling company before losing steam. The investor ultimately needs to decide whether the upside is worthy of the risk.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2022. Ella gestiona la realización de análisis técnicos, investigación macroeconómica y de acciones, y ofrece información valiosa que ayuda a la definición de estrategias de inversión para los clientes.

Antes de unirse a LS, Violeta trabajó en varias empresas de inversión de alto perfil en Australia, como Tollhurst y Morgans Financial, donde pasó los últimos 12 años de su carrera.

Violeta es una técnica de mercado certificada de la Asociación Australiana de Analistas Técnicos y tiene un Diploma de Postgrado en Finanzas e Inversiones Aplicadas de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, donde fue profesora durante varios años.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead
Julián se unió a Leverage Shares en 2018 como parte de la principal expansión de la compañía en Europa del Este. Él es responsable de diseñar estrategias de marketing y promover el conocimiento de la marca.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay se incorporó en Laverage Shares a fines de 2019. Él es responsable de impulsar el crecimiento del negocio al mantener relaciones clave y desarrollar la actividad de ventas en los mercados de habla inglesa.

Él vino de UniCredit, donde fue gerente de relaciones corporativas para empresas multinacionales. Su experiencia previa es en finanzas corporativas y administración de fondos en empresas como IBM Bulgaria y DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay tiene una licenciatura en Finanzas y Contabilidad y un certificado de posgrado en formación empresarial de Babson College. También es titular de una certificado CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst).

Sandeep Rao

Investigación

Sandeep se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2020. Está a cargo de la investigación de líneas de productos existentes y nuevas, clases de activos y estrategias, con un enfoque particular en el análisis de eventos y desarrollos recientes.

Sandeep tiene una larga experiencia en los mercados financieros. Comenzó en un hedge fund con sede en Chicago como ingeniero financiero, su carrera abarcó varios dominios y organizaciones durante un período de 8 años, desde la División de Prime Services de Barclays Capital hasta (más recientemente) el Equipo Index Research de Nasdaq.

Sandeep tiene una maestría en Finanzas, así como un MBA del Illinois Institute of Technology de Chicago.

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