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“Magnificent 7” deflates

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

  • What goes up, eventually goes down
  • Times “change”, but human behavior doesn’t

It has been a euphoric year for major US indices, which remained in positive territory despite the increasingly challenging macro environment this year.

However, most gains were driven by investor hype surrounding AI and came from a narrow selection of stocks labelled by the media as the “Magnificent 7”: Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla,

These leading tech companies have been critical in lifting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index into double-digit returns. Excluding their contribution, both indices would have reverted to a negative year-to-date performance.

In their recent earnings release, they all posted robust numbers, beating expectations, except for Tesla. It missed estimates across the board as Elon Musk cited high-interest rates as a major reason for the abysmal Q3 results. This setback has seen Tesla’s stock plummet approximately 33% from its 52-week highs.

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Nvidia is also up for a major correction. The leading chipmaker is facing a potential cancellation of a $5 billion China order due to US curbs. This could be the potential catalyst that causes Nvidia to break a critical $395 support level and fall all the way to $375, as it is facing a declining head and shoulders pattern. If it fails to hold the $375 level, this could spell disaster and a potential nosedive to $325.

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The AI mania bubble burst is another major reason as to when these seven heavy hitters are due for or are in the middle of a correction.

Times change, but human behavior does not. Interest from Google trends in key phrases such as “Artificial intelligence” and “AI stocks” had declined substantially since they peaked in June, as visible by a downward pointing red arrow.

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If we illustrate those seven tech giants as one, it would be the “Magnificent 7 ETF”. It has formed a triple top that has failed to break the resistance level three consecutive times, over the past few months, and now the rally is deflating, as triple tops usually do not work in favour of the bulls.

So far, Nvidia and Tesla are leading the downward trend, but others might follow soon.

Traders are facing a dangerous cocktail of high-interest rates, escalating geopolitical conflicts, oil prices spiking, and inflation creeping up again, causing panic among market participants. “Big 7” collectively lost nearly $2 trillion of their market capitalization from their 52-week highs, as this trade is reversing.

As the tech titans tumble, so will the mighty S&P 500, as the group collectively accounts for around 30% of the SPX’s total market capitalization.

Traders can long constituents of the “Big 7” stocks using our:
1x Apple , 2x Apple, 3x Apple

1x Microsoft , 2x Microsoft , 3x Microsoft

1x Facebook , 2x Facebook , 3x Facebook

1x Amazon , 2x Amazon , 3x Amazon

1x Alphabet , 2x Alphabet , 3x Alphabet

2x NVIDIA , 3x NVIDIA

1x Tesla , 2x Tesla , 3x Tesla

Traders can long S&P 500 index using our 3x US 500 , 5x Long US 500 .

Alternatively, they can short one of the “Big 7” stocks using our:

-1x Apple, -3x Apple

-1x Microsoft , -3x Microsoft

-3x Facebook

-3x Amazon

-1x Alphabet , -3x Alphabet

-1x NVIDIA , -3x NVIDIA

-1x Tesla , -2x Tesla , -3x Tesla

Or they can short S&P 500 index using our -3x US 500

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2022. Ella gestiona la realización de análisis técnicos, investigación macroeconómica y de acciones, y ofrece información valiosa que ayuda a la definición de estrategias de inversión para los clientes.

Antes de unirse a LS, Violeta trabajó en varias empresas de inversión de alto perfil en Australia, como Tollhurst y Morgans Financial, donde pasó los últimos 12 años de su carrera.

Violeta es una técnica de mercado certificada de la Asociación Australiana de Analistas Técnicos y tiene un Diploma de Postgrado en Finanzas e Inversiones Aplicadas de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, donde fue profesora durante varios años.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead
Julián se unió a Leverage Shares en 2018 como parte de la principal expansión de la compañía en Europa del Este. Él es responsable de diseñar estrategias de marketing y promover el conocimiento de la marca.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay se incorporó en Laverage Shares a fines de 2019. Él es responsable de impulsar el crecimiento del negocio al mantener relaciones clave y desarrollar la actividad de ventas en los mercados de habla inglesa.

Él vino de UniCredit, donde fue gerente de relaciones corporativas para empresas multinacionales. Su experiencia previa es en finanzas corporativas y administración de fondos en empresas como IBM Bulgaria y DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay tiene una licenciatura en Finanzas y Contabilidad y un certificado de posgrado en formación empresarial de Babson College. También es titular de una certificado CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst).

Sandeep Rao

Investigación

Sandeep se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2020. Está a cargo de la investigación de líneas de productos existentes y nuevas, clases de activos y estrategias, con un enfoque particular en el análisis de eventos y desarrollos recientes.

Sandeep tiene una larga experiencia en los mercados financieros. Comenzó en un hedge fund con sede en Chicago como ingeniero financiero, su carrera abarcó varios dominios y organizaciones durante un período de 8 años, desde la División de Prime Services de Barclays Capital hasta (más recientemente) el Equipo Index Research de Nasdaq.

Sandeep tiene una maestría en Finanzas, así como un MBA del Illinois Institute of Technology de Chicago.

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