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Light Revenue Forecast Overshadows Subscriber Jump

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Netflix’s second-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street’s expectations, leading to an almost 9% drop in its shares. Despite adding 5.9 million new streaming customers from April through June and exceeding earnings predictions, the revenue miss and a weaker third-quarter revenue forecast overshadowed the positive news.

Its nearly 6 million subscriber additions outpaced the 1.9 million that Wall Street expected, reaching a total of 238.4 million subscribers worldwide as of the end of June.

Quarterly revenue climbed 2.7% from a year earlier to $8.2 billion, shy of analyst forecasts of $8.3 billion. The company estimated third-quarter revenue would reach $8.5 billion vs. Wall Street forecasts of $8.7 billion.

To combat market saturation in the United States and increasing streaming competition, Netflix has been exploring new revenue sources. The company introduced a cheaper tier with advertising and cracked down on password sharing to encourage paid accounts. However, while the subscriber base expanded, average revenue per member declined due to the lower prices in some regions.

Although Netflix’s password-sharing initiative showed early success, it limited opportunities for price hikes, which had previously driven revenue growth. As a result, Netflix’s stock faced short-term pressure, but the move could lead to future revenue growth.

The streaming giant remains optimistic about accelerating revenue growth in the second half of the year. It plans to create compelling shows and movies, improve monetization, expand its video game business, and enhance user experience.

The company’s focus on long-term revenue growth strategies and its dominance in the streaming industry continue to position it ahead of its competitors. However, investors are urged to temper their expectations given the company’s maturing market and the challenges in the streaming industry.

A graph of stock market

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Source: TradingView

Netflix’s clampdown on password sharing is turning out to be more of a long-term bet than many investors realized. And while the earnings results are causing some short-term pressure, and revenue acceleration might take longer than originally thought, the short-term weakness might provide a good entry point for long-term investors.

Netflix has further revenue opportunities ahead thanks to its removal of the basic tier of service in its core markets. The company is still in a far stronger position compared to rivals and remains the benchmark. It’s worth noting that Netflix is still in its own league, having built a profitable streaming model while its legacy media competitors struggle to do so in an increasingly difficult environment.

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Violeta se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2022. Ella gestiona la realización de análisis técnicos, investigación macroeconómica y de acciones, y ofrece información valiosa que ayuda a la definición de estrategias de inversión para los clientes.

Antes de unirse a LS, Violeta trabajó en varias empresas de inversión de alto perfil en Australia, como Tollhurst y Morgans Financial, donde pasó los últimos 12 años de su carrera.

Violeta es una técnica de mercado certificada de la Asociación Australiana de Analistas Técnicos y tiene un Diploma de Postgrado en Finanzas e Inversiones Aplicadas de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, donde fue profesora durante varios años.

Julian Manoilov

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Julián se unió a Leverage Shares en 2018 como parte de la principal expansión de la compañía en Europa del Este. Él es responsable de diseñar estrategias de marketing y promover el conocimiento de la marca.

Oktay Kavrak

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