fbpx

Rally Holds up but is Losing Momentum

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

In the coming week, U.S. investors would pay a very close attention on the preliminary PMIs readings, the FOMC meeting minutes, revised data on fourth quarter GDP, PCE data, existing home sales as well as personal income and spending.

On Wednesday the Federal Reserve is to publish the minutes of its January meeting, when it slowed the pace of interest rate hikes to 25 basis points after a year of aggressive hiking. The Fed’s meeting minutes on Wednesday will be the spotlight this week as uncertainty over how high interest rates may ultimately rise in the central bank’s battle against inflation has renewed.

The minutes may give investors some insight into the possibility for a larger hike at the upcoming Fed’s March meeting after recent comments from some policymakers indicated support for such a move, despite the Fed hiking a massive 450 basis points over the past 11 months.

The minutes are largely expected to reiterate the central bank’s hawkish stance, which repeatedly indicated more interest rate hikes are likely. This has prompted investors to re-evaluate expectations for how high the Fed will ultimately raise rates with the market widely expecting the federal funds rate to peak above 5.2% in July.

Persistently rising prices have pushed investors to factor in another 75 basis points of rate hikes by July. They have also lowered their bets for the first rate cut with swaps pointing to a 20 basis point reduction by the end of the year, in comparison to a 50 basis point cut seen few weeks ago.

Despite witnessing the most aggressive Fed tightening cycle in decades, U.S. retail sales at all-time highs, unemployment at 43-year lows, nonfarm payrolls ramping up in January and inflation reaccelerating.

The U.S. is to release the personal income and spending data on Friday, which contains the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – the core personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), which will be closely monitored.

The readings will give more insight into price pressures, while earnings results from number of major retailers will cast some light on how consumers are faring in the current environment of still rising prices. Recent data has shown the decline in the annual rate of inflation has stalled while producer prices rose by the most in seven months in January.

The labour market ballooned in January with the U.S. economy adding an impressive 517K jobs, blowing past economic expectations. While at the same time, a slew of corporate layoff announcements triggered questions about whether there could be a broad slowdown on the horizon.

Source: Tradingview

While recent data suggest the economy might be able to avoid a recession the Fed is far from ending its monetary tightening. After sinking into a bear market territory in 2022, U.S. stocks have rallied in 2023 as signs of easing inflation fuelled bets the Fed could slow the pace of rate hikes. But policy makers have warned that interest rates could rise further as price pressures remain elevated.

The rally from the onset of the year stalled after central bankers reaffirmed, they will continue its fight against inflation as bets on resilient economic growth and a Fed pivot are premature. While the rally has slowed, the higher terminal rates expectations have not reversed it yet either. However, there remains a heightened degree of caution at current levels.

U.S. benchmark index finished the previous week in a mixed fashion and a small trading range below key resistance of 4,277 has formed. The leading RSI indicator completed a top reversal pattern from overbought territory, suggesting the market is vulnerable to a pull back in the short-term.

Active traders looking for magnified exposure to U.S. indices may consider our 3x Long US 500 and -3x Short US 500 ETPs.

Investing in ETPs has never been more accessible than it is today. Our ETFs are designed to provide investors with the opportunity to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to a wide range of assets, all while minimizing risk.

In summary, our ETPs provide a unique investment opportunity for investors looking for diversification, leverage, and liquidity. Don’t miss out on the chance to grow your wealth and achieve your financial goals.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Post correlati

Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Violeta Todorova
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Boyan Girginov
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Sandeep Rao
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Violeta Todorova
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Boyan Girginov
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Pawel Uchman
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Sandeep Rao
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.

Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2022. Ella gestiona la realización de análisis técnicos, investigación macroeconómica y de acciones, y ofrece información valiosa que ayuda a la definición de estrategias de inversión para los clientes.

Antes de unirse a LS, Violeta trabajó en varias empresas de inversión de alto perfil en Australia, como Tollhurst y Morgans Financial, donde pasó los últimos 12 años de su carrera.

Violeta es una técnica de mercado certificada de la Asociación Australiana de Analistas Técnicos y tiene un Diploma de Postgrado en Finanzas e Inversiones Aplicadas de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, donde fue profesora durante varios años.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead
Julián se unió a Leverage Shares en 2018 como parte de la principal expansión de la compañía en Europa del Este. Él es responsable de diseñar estrategias de marketing y promover el conocimiento de la marca.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay se incorporó en Laverage Shares a fines de 2019. Él es responsable de impulsar el crecimiento del negocio al mantener relaciones clave y desarrollar la actividad de ventas en los mercados de habla inglesa.

Él vino de UniCredit, donde fue gerente de relaciones corporativas para empresas multinacionales. Su experiencia previa es en finanzas corporativas y administración de fondos en empresas como IBM Bulgaria y DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay tiene una licenciatura en Finanzas y Contabilidad y un certificado de posgrado en formación empresarial de Babson College. También es titular de una certificado CFA (Chartered Financial Analyst).

Sandeep Rao

Investigación

Sandeep se unió a Leverage Shares en septiembre de 2020. Está a cargo de la investigación de líneas de productos existentes y nuevas, clases de activos y estrategias, con un enfoque particular en el análisis de eventos y desarrollos recientes.

Sandeep tiene una larga experiencia en los mercados financieros. Comenzó en un hedge fund con sede en Chicago como ingeniero financiero, su carrera abarcó varios dominios y organizaciones durante un período de 8 años, desde la División de Prime Services de Barclays Capital hasta (más recientemente) el Equipo Index Research de Nasdaq.

Sandeep tiene una maestría en Finanzas, así como un MBA del Illinois Institute of Technology de Chicago.

Gold Retreats But Rally is Not Over

Copper Ready to Explode

Q2 2024 Market Outlook: Rocky Road Ahead

What is an ETF? (Exchange Traded Fund)

How Do Leverage Shares ETPs Trade in Multiple Currencies

Currency Impact

Build your own ETP Basket
Leverage Shares: Europe’s top leveraged and inverse ETP provider.
Main ETP benefits
Common investor questions

Get the Newsletter

Never miss out on important announcements. Get premium content ahead of the crowd. Enjoy exclusive insights via the newsletter only.