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Meta delivers, but stock drops

  • Meta beats across the board
  • Geopolitical and Macro worries scare investors

Positive surprises from better-than-expected user growth and average revenue per user (ARPU) have led to a better-than-expected top line for Meta.

  • Revenue: $34.15 billion vs. $33.56 billion expected
  • Daily active users (DAUs): 2.09 billion vs. 2.07 billion expected
  • Average revenue per user (ARPU): $11.23 vs. $11.05 expected

For Q4’2023, guidance was in line with expectations, with sales in the range of $36.5 billion to $40 billion, against the analyst forecast of $38.85 billion, which would bring total revenues for 2023 north of $133 billion (+14% year-over-year jump).

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On top of that, The „Year of Efficiency, “ as labeled by CEO Mark Zuckerberg, has caused Meta’s operating costs in particular headcount to be reduced, which resulted in the highest profit ($11.5 billion) and earnings per share ($4.39) in the last several quarters.

As a result, the company equity has done outstanding this year despite the turbulent geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape. The stock is up +135% year-to-date, outperforming by miles the modest +32% gain of the heavy tech Nasdaq over the same period.

However, the good news ended here.

Meta CFO Susan Li said she expects „greater uncertainty and volatility ahead. » and “observed softer ad spend in the beginning of the fourth quarter, “ correlating with the start of the Middle East conflict.

Meta is investing a lot of capital into VR and AR, but those massive bets have not paid off for now.

The company has lost over $25 billion in its Reality Labs since 2020, and $13.7 billion of that came last year. It has now lost close to $37.5 billion since Q3’2020. Those snowballing losses will only go up « …for Reality Labs, we expect operating losses to increase meaningfully yearly due to our ongoing product development…” said Zuck.

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Despite those losses, the company keeps investing massive amounts of capital into the segment with the recent launches of Meta AI, Meta Quest 3, and Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses.

This showcases the company’s ambition to leverage its massive user base of over 3 billion people, or around 38% of the global population, with integrated AI technology products. The company is also implementing AI-powered advertising models to improve its sales.

CEO Mark Zuckerberg said, „AI will be our biggest investment area in 2024“, on the quarterly call.

Investors can long Meta using our 1x Facebook , 2x Facebook , and 3x Facebook .

Alternatively, traders can short Meta using our -3x Facebook .

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta a rejoint Leverage Shares en septembre 2022. Elle est chargée de mener des analyses techniques et des recherches sur les actions et macroéconomiques, fournissant des informations importantes pour aider à façonner les stratégies d’investissement des clients.

Avant de rejoindre LS, Violeta a travaillé dans plusieurs sociétés d’investissement de premier plan en Australie, telles que Tollhurst et Morgans Financial, où elle a passé les 12 dernières années de sa carrière.

Violeta est une technicienne de marché certifiée de l’Australian Technical Analysts Association et est titulaire d’un diplôme d’études supérieures en finance appliquée et investissement de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australie, où elle a été conférencière pendant plusieurs années.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian a étudié l’économie, la psychologie, la sociologie, la politique européenne et la linguistique. Il possède de l’expérience en matière de développement commercial et de marketing grâce à des entreprises qu’il a lui-même créées.

Pour Julian, Leverage Shares est une entreprise innovante dans le domaine de la finance et de la fintech, et il se réjouit toujours de partager les prochaines grandes avancées avec les investisseurs du Royaume-Uni et d’Europe.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay a rejoint Leverage Shares fin 2019. Il est responsable de la croissance de l’activité à travers des relations clés et le développement de l’activité commerciale sur les marchés anglophones. 

Il a rejoint LS après UniCredit, où il était responsable des relations avec les entreprises pour les multinationales. Il a également travaillé au sein de sociétés telles qu’IBM Bulgarie et DeGiro / FundShare dans le domaine de la finance d’entreprise et de l’administration de fonds.

Oktay est titulaire d’une licence en finance et comptabilité et d’un certificat d’études supérieures en entrepreneuriat du Babson College. Il est également détenteur de la certification CFA.

Sandeep Rao

Recherche

Sandeep a une longue expérience des marchés financiers. Il a débuté sa carrière en tant qu’ingénieur financier au sein d’un hedge fund basé à Chicago. Pendant huit ans, il a travaillé dans différents domaines et organisations, de la division Prime Services de Barclays Capital à l’équipe de recherche sur les indices du Nasdaq (plus récemment).

Sandeep est titulaire d’un master spécialisé en finance et d’un master en administration des affaires de I’Institut de technologie de Chicago.

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