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Light Revenue Forecast Overshadows Subscriber Jump

Netflix’s second-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street’s expectations, leading to an almost 9% drop in its shares. Despite adding 5.9 million new streaming customers from April through June and exceeding earnings predictions, the revenue miss and a weaker third-quarter revenue forecast overshadowed the positive news.

Its nearly 6 million subscriber additions outpaced the 1.9 million that Wall Street expected, reaching a total of 238.4 million subscribers worldwide as of the end of June.

Quarterly revenue climbed 2.7% from a year earlier to $8.2 billion, shy of analyst forecasts of $8.3 billion. The company estimated third-quarter revenue would reach $8.5 billion vs. Wall Street forecasts of $8.7 billion.

To combat market saturation in the United States and increasing streaming competition, Netflix has been exploring new revenue sources. The company introduced a cheaper tier with advertising and cracked down on password sharing to encourage paid accounts. However, while the subscriber base expanded, average revenue per member declined due to the lower prices in some regions.

Although Netflix’s password-sharing initiative showed early success, it limited opportunities for price hikes, which had previously driven revenue growth. As a result, Netflix’s stock faced short-term pressure, but the move could lead to future revenue growth.

The streaming giant remains optimistic about accelerating revenue growth in the second half of the year. It plans to create compelling shows and movies, improve monetization, expand its video game business, and enhance user experience.

The company’s focus on long-term revenue growth strategies and its dominance in the streaming industry continue to position it ahead of its competitors. However, investors are urged to temper their expectations given the company’s maturing market and the challenges in the streaming industry.

A graph of stock market

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Source: TradingView

Netflix’s clampdown on password sharing is turning out to be more of a long-term bet than many investors realized. And while the earnings results are causing some short-term pressure, and revenue acceleration might take longer than originally thought, the short-term weakness might provide a good entry point for long-term investors.

Netflix has further revenue opportunities ahead thanks to its removal of the basic tier of service in its core markets. The company is still in a far stronger position compared to rivals and remains the benchmark. It’s worth noting that Netflix is still in its own league, having built a profitable streaming model while its legacy media competitors struggle to do so in an increasingly difficult environment.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta a rejoint Leverage Shares en septembre 2022. Elle est chargée de mener des analyses techniques et des recherches sur les actions et macroéconomiques, fournissant des informations importantes pour aider à façonner les stratégies d’investissement des clients.

Avant de rejoindre LS, Violeta a travaillé dans plusieurs sociétés d’investissement de premier plan en Australie, telles que Tollhurst et Morgans Financial, où elle a passé les 12 dernières années de sa carrière.

Violeta est une technicienne de marché certifiée de l’Australian Technical Analysts Association et est titulaire d’un diplôme d’études supérieures en finance appliquée et investissement de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australie, où elle a été conférencière pendant plusieurs années.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian a étudié l’économie, la psychologie, la sociologie, la politique européenne et la linguistique. Il possède de l’expérience en matière de développement commercial et de marketing grâce à des entreprises qu’il a lui-même créées.

Pour Julian, Leverage Shares est une entreprise innovante dans le domaine de la finance et de la fintech, et il se réjouit toujours de partager les prochaines grandes avancées avec les investisseurs du Royaume-Uni et d’Europe.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay a rejoint Leverage Shares fin 2019. Il est responsable de la croissance de l’activité à travers des relations clés et le développement de l’activité commerciale sur les marchés anglophones. 

Il a rejoint LS après UniCredit, où il était responsable des relations avec les entreprises pour les multinationales. Il a également travaillé au sein de sociétés telles qu’IBM Bulgarie et DeGiro / FundShare dans le domaine de la finance d’entreprise et de l’administration de fonds.

Oktay est titulaire d’une licence en finance et comptabilité et d’un certificat d’études supérieures en entrepreneuriat du Babson College. Il est également détenteur de la certification CFA.

Sandeep Rao

Recherche

Sandeep a une longue expérience des marchés financiers. Il a débuté sa carrière en tant qu’ingénieur financier au sein d’un hedge fund basé à Chicago. Pendant huit ans, il a travaillé dans différents domaines et organisations, de la division Prime Services de Barclays Capital à l’équipe de recherche sur les indices du Nasdaq (plus récemment).

Sandeep est titulaire d’un master spécialisé en finance et d’un master en administration des affaires de I’Institut de technologie de Chicago.

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