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Trading the Resurgent Energy Sector with Leveraged

A potent combination of soaring inflation and hawkish Fed interest rate hikes have sent markets into a freefall and arguably bear territory.

Year-to-date (YTD), the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX) indexes are down over -18% and –27% respectively as high-valuation tech growth stocks faltered. Even traditionally resilient sectors like consumer staples have suffered severe losses, dragged down by disappointing earnings reports from Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT).

However, there is an exception the energy sector. Having benefited from soaring commodity prices, supply chain constraints, and geopolitical crisis in Ukraine, the sector has soared, marking a significant reversal from its pandemic-era lows.

Trading the energy sector

YTD, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is up over 42%, significantly outperforming the other 11 sectors and the market as a whole. Energy sector companies have enjoyed stronger balance sheets, cashflow, revenues, and earnings.

Investors looking to trade the energy sector can go long and short via a variety of instruments. Some investors may elect to buy or short the stocks of large-cap energy sector companies such as Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron Corp (CVX).

For additional exposure, investors may elect to leverage up via portfolio margin. This is risky as margin is subject to borrow rates (which are expected to go up as various central banks initiate interest rate hikes) and the ever-present danger of a margin call should the value of your holdings fall.

Investors could also trade options. Buying out-of-the-money (OTM) calls or puts with a few days to a week until expiry could magnify losses and gains significantly. However, this exposes an investor’s capital to theta decay (the rate at which an options premium loses value over time), and implied volatility (IV) crush (the loss in an options premium due to suddenly decreased volatility, typically after earning are released). Options also expire, so a degree of market timing is required which causes additional risk.

A better way to manage risk

Investors may want to look instead at an instrument allowing them to participate fully in the upside, but capping their downside, with no risk of margin calls, theta decay, volatility crush, or expiration.

Leverage Share’s suite of exchange-traded products (ETPs) offer daily three times (3x) leveraged exposure to the performance of the energy sector (XLE). Investors can use these ETPs to ride the momentum both ways, by either going long with XL3, or going short with XLGS.

If you’re bullish or bearish on a particular single ticket, Leverage Shares also offers 3x daily leveraged long exposure and 1x daily inverse exposure to Royal Dutch Shell (SHEL) via RSH3 and RDSS. The same goes for BP plc (BP) via BP3L and BPS.

The physically backed nature of both ETPs ensures good liquidity and a narrow bid-ask spread, allowing you to enter and exit positions easily. Your risk is also capped based on how many shares you hold, making position sizing easy (just buy and sell shares) compared to maintaining margin requirements or calculating options delta exposure.

What’s next?

Regardless of your thesis for the energy sector, one thing remains certain: the market volatility will continue for the foreseeable future. While past performance is not indicative of future performance, trading around the recent momentum in the energy sector could be a profitable and rewarding endeavour. Using leveraged ETPs can help you achieve your desired risk/return profile more easily and efficiently.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta a rejoint Leverage Shares en septembre 2022. Elle est chargée de mener des analyses techniques et des recherches sur les actions et macroéconomiques, fournissant des informations importantes pour aider à façonner les stratégies d’investissement des clients.

Avant de rejoindre LS, Violeta a travaillé dans plusieurs sociétés d’investissement de premier plan en Australie, telles que Tollhurst et Morgans Financial, où elle a passé les 12 dernières années de sa carrière.

Violeta est une technicienne de marché certifiée de l’Australian Technical Analysts Association et est titulaire d’un diplôme d’études supérieures en finance appliquée et investissement de Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australie, où elle a été conférencière pendant plusieurs années.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian a étudié l’économie, la psychologie, la sociologie, la politique européenne et la linguistique. Il possède de l’expérience en matière de développement commercial et de marketing grâce à des entreprises qu’il a lui-même créées.

Pour Julian, Leverage Shares est une entreprise innovante dans le domaine de la finance et de la fintech, et il se réjouit toujours de partager les prochaines grandes avancées avec les investisseurs du Royaume-Uni et d’Europe.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay a rejoint Leverage Shares fin 2019. Il est responsable de la croissance de l’activité à travers des relations clés et le développement de l’activité commerciale sur les marchés anglophones. 

Il a rejoint LS après UniCredit, où il était responsable des relations avec les entreprises pour les multinationales. Il a également travaillé au sein de sociétés telles qu’IBM Bulgarie et DeGiro / FundShare dans le domaine de la finance d’entreprise et de l’administration de fonds.

Oktay est titulaire d’une licence en finance et comptabilité et d’un certificat d’études supérieures en entrepreneuriat du Babson College. Il est également détenteur de la certification CFA.

Sandeep Rao

Recherche

Sandeep a une longue expérience des marchés financiers. Il a débuté sa carrière en tant qu’ingénieur financier au sein d’un hedge fund basé à Chicago. Pendant huit ans, il a travaillé dans différents domaines et organisations, de la division Prime Services de Barclays Capital à l’équipe de recherche sur les indices du Nasdaq (plus récemment).

Sandeep est titulaire d’un master spécialisé en finance et d’un master en administration des affaires de I’Institut de technologie de Chicago.

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