fbpx

Capitalising on a Shift in Federal Reserve Policy

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is an exchange-traded fund. The Fund seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of United States Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. These bonds are issued by the U.S. government to fund its long-term borrowing needs. The index also includes fixed-rate bonds, inflation-protected securities (TIPS), and Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities (STRIPS).

The fund reflects and has inverse relationship with long-dated U.S. interest rates; therefore, it rises when rates fall and declines when rates increase. The ETF pays a monthly dividend, which was last paid on the 7 th of June 2023 amounting to $0.273. This represents a $3.28 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 3.16%. TLT is highly liquid, it has $39.35 billion in assets under management and trades an average of 23.82 million shares daily, charging a 0.15% expense ratio.

As an ETF, TLT allows investors to gain exposure to a diversified portfolio of long-term Treasury bonds by purchasing shares on a stock exchange. The fund seeks to provide investors with returns that correspond to the performance of the underlying index, minus fees and expenses.

While the Fed may potentially implement one or two more rate hikes by year-end, if there is not significant deterioration in economic data, we are nearing the peak of interest rates, and a shift in Federal Reserve policy is coming. Investing in TLT can be advantageous for several reasons:

Price appreciation: When interest rates decline, the value of U.S. Treasury bonds held by TLT, tends to rise.

Income generation: TLT primarily invests in long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, which generally offer higher yields than shorter-term bonds.

Safe-haven investment: U.S. Treasury bonds are considered safe-haven assets, especially during uncertain economic conditions or periods of market volatility.

It’s important to note that investing in TLT, like any investment, involves risks. If interest rates rise instead of falling, the value of TLT and its bond holdings may decline.

A picture containing text, plot, line, screenshot

Description automatically generated

Source: TradingView

TLT had a rough 2022, dropping 40% from a high of $155.12 to a low of $91.85 as the Federal Reserve aggressively increased the short-term fed funds rate last year, and quantitative tightening pushed interest rates higher further out.

It appears TLT have bottomed at $91.85 in October 2022 as the price behaviour over the past seven months shows a number of positive developments. In December 2022 the Relative Strength Index indicator moved into a bull market range which suggests that the prior down trend is likely to reverse course soon.

The sequence of lower lows and lower highs has been broken for the first time since December 2021 showing that the buyers are stepping in. A clear trading range has been established since the onset of the year with the price fluctuating between $98.88 and $109.68. A subsequent break above resistance of $109.68 appears to be highly likely given the improvement in the momentum conditions which will confirm that a new bull market has started. The potential upside price target based on the breakout is in the $120.00 – $125.00 range.

Bond exchange-traded products (ETPs) offer investors diversification, accessibility, transparency, income generation, liquidity, and cost efficiency. These benefits make bond ETPs an attractive option for investors looking to gain exposure to a diversified portfolio of bonds while enjoying the advantages of listed and tradable investment vehicles.

Active traders looking for magnified exposure to iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF may consider our 5x Long 20+ Year Treasury Bond or -5x Short 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETPs.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Related Posts

Gold is in a healthy correction and higher price levels are likely by year end.
Gold is in a healthy correction and higher price levels are likely by year end.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Violeta Todorova
Gold is in a healthy correction and higher price levels are likely by year end.
Gold is in a healthy correction and higher price levels are likely by year end.
Gold is in a healthy correction and higher price levels are likely by year end.
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Boyan Girginov
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Supply, demand disequilibrium and lower US rates could squeeze the non-precious metal
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Sandeep Rao
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Q2 is poised for European stocks’ turnaround and rising interest in energy stocks
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Violeta Todorova
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East threatens to derail the economic recovery.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Boyan Girginov
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
What is an ETF? How does an ETF work? Key characteristics of ETFs.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Pawel Uchman
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
Violeta-540x540-1.jpg
Sandeep Rao
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.
A quick primer on leveraged instruments available in markets today.

Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta è entrata a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2022. È responsabile dello svolgimento di analisi tecniche e ricerche macroeconomiche ed azionarie, fornendo pregiate informazioni per aiutare a definire le strategie di investimento per i clienti.

Prima di cominciare con LS, Violeta ha lavorato presso diverse società di investimento di alto profilo in Australia, come Tollhurst e Morgans Financial, dove ha trascorso gli ultimi 12 anni della sua carriera.

Violeta è un tecnico di mercato certificato dall’Australian Technical Analysts Association e ha conseguito un diploma post-laurea in finanza applicata e investimenti presso Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, dove è stata docente per diversi anni.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel 2018 come parte della prima espansione della società in Europa orientale. È responsabile della progettazione di strategie di marketing e della promozione della notorietà del marchio.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares alla fine del 2019. È responsabile della crescita aziendale, mantenendo relazioni chiave e sviluppando attività di vendita nei mercati di lingua inglese.

È entrato in LS da UniCredit, dove è stato responsabile delle relazioni aziendali per le multinazionali. La sua precedente esperienza è in finanza aziendale e amministrazione di fondi in società come IBM Bulgaria e DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay ha conseguito una laurea in Finanza e contabilità ed un certificato post-laurea in Imprenditoria presso il Babson College. Ha ottenuto anche la certificazione CFA.

Sandeep Rao

Research
Sandeep è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2020. È responsabile della ricerca sulle linee di prodotto esistenti e nuove, su asset class e strategie, con particolare riguardo all’analisi degli eventi attuali ed i loro sviluppi. Sandeep ha una lunga esperienza nei mercati finanziari. Iniziata in un hedge fund di Chicago come ingegnere finanziario, la sua carriera è proseguita in numerose società ed organizzazioni, nel corso di 8 anni – da Barclays (Capital’s Prime Services Division) al più recente Index Research Team di Nasdaq. Sandeep detiene un M.S. in Finanza ed un MBA all’Illinois Institute of Technology di Chicago.

Gold Retreats But Rally is Not Over

Copper Ready to Explode

Q2 2024 Market Outlook: Rocky Road Ahead

What is an ETF? (Exchange Traded Fund)

How Do Leverage Shares ETPs Trade in Multiple Currencies

Currency Impact

Build your own ETP Basket
Leverage Shares: Europe’s top leveraged and inverse ETP provider.
Main ETP benefits
Common investor questions

Ricevi la Newsletter

Rimani sempre aggiornato sugli ultimi avvenimenti. Accedi a contenuti premium e goditi in prima fila gli approfondimenti esclusivi tramite la nostra newsletter. In inglese.