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Ferrari outracing the competition

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Despite the gloomy economic outlook, no recession seems to exist for the luxury automaker as its superior products are in high demand, as quarterly car sales reached an all-time high of 3567.

Customers trying to get a new Ferrari must be patient as the waiting list extends into 2025. The testament to the above statements is the newly launched Daytona SP3 model, which is limited to 599 units. This constrained supply, in combination with very high demand, enables Ferrari to charge a whopping starting price of $2.3m for that particular model, which was sold out even before its unveiling.
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Unsurprisingly in Q1’2023, the company reported better-than-expected Revenue of €1,429m (vs. consensus estimates for €1,375m) and EBIT of €385m (26.9% margin) driven by its elite clientele and incredible brand loyalty.

For a growing crowd of investors, the luxury sector to the European stock market is analogues to what Big Tech has been to the US: Dominant businesses whose growth is unshakable even as the economy loses steam. Ferrari is a testimony to the trend of a brand that has always been synonymous with luxury.

As seen from the chart above, demand for high-end sports cars has held up well among Ferrari’s wealthy customers even as it increased prices. This is in stark contrast to some automakers, such as Tesla, who are losing pricing power as the economy heads for a slowdown. As a result, Ferrari shares have been outperforming Tesla recently by miles, up over 40%, while Tesla is down a staggering 33%.

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A testament to Ferrari’s incredible profitability is its gross profit margins (GM) of close to 50%, head and shoulders ahead of the competition; Tesla comes second with GM of 23%. However, the latter has been slashing prices recently, negatively impacting its profitability.

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Is the rally overextending?

The stock is up 37% year-to-date, trading at an all-time high of $300, and despite its incredible momentum, the number one luxury automaker could face some major corrections. The current share price already reflects a lot of positive market news, such as the unprecedently high demand and improving company fundamentals. However, the Italian luxury automaker is trading at about seven times its forward sales (and 40 times forward earnings), by far the most expensive car stock in Europe, in fact, more expensive than any other auto manufacturer, except for Tesla.

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High conviction investors might short the stock using our -3x Ferrari or long Ferrari using our 3x Ferrari.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta è entrata a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2022. È responsabile dello svolgimento di analisi tecniche e ricerche macroeconomiche ed azionarie, fornendo pregiate informazioni per aiutare a definire le strategie di investimento per i clienti.

Prima di cominciare con LS, Violeta ha lavorato presso diverse società di investimento di alto profilo in Australia, come Tollhurst e Morgans Financial, dove ha trascorso gli ultimi 12 anni della sua carriera.

Violeta è un tecnico di mercato certificato dall’Australian Technical Analysts Association e ha conseguito un diploma post-laurea in finanza applicata e investimenti presso Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, dove è stata docente per diversi anni.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel 2018 come parte della prima espansione della società in Europa orientale. È responsabile della progettazione di strategie di marketing e della promozione della notorietà del marchio.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares alla fine del 2019. È responsabile della crescita aziendale, mantenendo relazioni chiave e sviluppando attività di vendita nei mercati di lingua inglese.

È entrato in LS da UniCredit, dove è stato responsabile delle relazioni aziendali per le multinazionali. La sua precedente esperienza è in finanza aziendale e amministrazione di fondi in società come IBM Bulgaria e DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay ha conseguito una laurea in Finanza e contabilità ed un certificato post-laurea in Imprenditoria presso il Babson College. Ha ottenuto anche la certificazione CFA.

Sandeep Rao

Research
Sandeep è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2020. È responsabile della ricerca sulle linee di prodotto esistenti e nuove, su asset class e strategie, con particolare riguardo all’analisi degli eventi attuali ed i loro sviluppi. Sandeep ha una lunga esperienza nei mercati finanziari. Iniziata in un hedge fund di Chicago come ingegnere finanziario, la sua carriera è proseguita in numerose società ed organizzazioni, nel corso di 8 anni – da Barclays (Capital’s Prime Services Division) al più recente Index Research Team di Nasdaq. Sandeep detiene un M.S. in Finanza ed un MBA all’Illinois Institute of Technology di Chicago.

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