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“Magnificent 7” deflates

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

  • What goes up, eventually goes down
  • Times “change”, but human behavior doesn’t

It has been a euphoric year for major US indices, which remained in positive territory despite the increasingly challenging macro environment this year.

However, most gains were driven by investor hype surrounding AI and came from a narrow selection of stocks labelled by the media as the “Magnificent 7”: Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla,

These leading tech companies have been critical in lifting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index into double-digit returns. Excluding their contribution, both indices would have reverted to a negative year-to-date performance.

In their recent earnings release, they all posted robust numbers, beating expectations, except for Tesla. It missed estimates across the board as Elon Musk cited high-interest rates as a major reason for the abysmal Q3 results. This setback has seen Tesla’s stock plummet approximately 33% from its 52-week highs.

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Nvidia is also up for a major correction. The leading chipmaker is facing a potential cancellation of a $5 billion China order due to US curbs. This could be the potential catalyst that causes Nvidia to break a critical $395 support level and fall all the way to $375, as it is facing a declining head and shoulders pattern. If it fails to hold the $375 level, this could spell disaster and a potential nosedive to $325.

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The AI mania bubble burst is another major reason as to when these seven heavy hitters are due for or are in the middle of a correction.

Times change, but human behavior does not. Interest from Google trends in key phrases such as “Artificial intelligence” and “AI stocks” had declined substantially since they peaked in June, as visible by a downward pointing red arrow.

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If we illustrate those seven tech giants as one, it would be the “Magnificent 7 ETF”. It has formed a triple top that has failed to break the resistance level three consecutive times, over the past few months, and now the rally is deflating, as triple tops usually do not work in favour of the bulls.

So far, Nvidia and Tesla are leading the downward trend, but others might follow soon.

Traders are facing a dangerous cocktail of high-interest rates, escalating geopolitical conflicts, oil prices spiking, and inflation creeping up again, causing panic among market participants. “Big 7” collectively lost nearly $2 trillion of their market capitalization from their 52-week highs, as this trade is reversing.

As the tech titans tumble, so will the mighty S&P 500, as the group collectively accounts for around 30% of the SPX’s total market capitalization.

Traders can long constituents of the “Big 7” stocks using our:
1x Apple , 2x Apple, 3x Apple

1x Microsoft , 2x Microsoft , 3x Microsoft

1x Facebook , 2x Facebook , 3x Facebook

1x Amazon , 2x Amazon , 3x Amazon

1x Alphabet , 2x Alphabet , 3x Alphabet

2x NVIDIA , 3x NVIDIA

1x Tesla , 2x Tesla , 3x Tesla

Traders can long S&P 500 index using our 3x US 500 , 5x Long US 500 .

Alternatively, they can short one of the “Big 7” stocks using our:

-1x Apple, -3x Apple

-1x Microsoft , -3x Microsoft

-3x Facebook

-3x Amazon

-1x Alphabet , -3x Alphabet

-1x NVIDIA , -3x NVIDIA

-1x Tesla , -2x Tesla , -3x Tesla

Or they can short S&P 500 index using our -3x US 500

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta è entrata a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2022. È responsabile dello svolgimento di analisi tecniche e ricerche macroeconomiche ed azionarie, fornendo pregiate informazioni per aiutare a definire le strategie di investimento per i clienti.

Prima di cominciare con LS, Violeta ha lavorato presso diverse società di investimento di alto profilo in Australia, come Tollhurst e Morgans Financial, dove ha trascorso gli ultimi 12 anni della sua carriera.

Violeta è un tecnico di mercato certificato dall’Australian Technical Analysts Association e ha conseguito un diploma post-laurea in finanza applicata e investimenti presso Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, dove è stata docente per diversi anni.

Julian Manoilov

Marketing Lead

Julian è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel 2018 come parte della prima espansione della società in Europa orientale. È responsabile della progettazione di strategie di marketing e della promozione della notorietà del marchio.

Oktay Kavrak

Head of Communications and Strategy

Oktay è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares alla fine del 2019. È responsabile della crescita aziendale, mantenendo relazioni chiave e sviluppando attività di vendita nei mercati di lingua inglese.

È entrato in LS da UniCredit, dove è stato responsabile delle relazioni aziendali per le multinazionali. La sua precedente esperienza è in finanza aziendale e amministrazione di fondi in società come IBM Bulgaria e DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay ha conseguito una laurea in Finanza e contabilità ed un certificato post-laurea in Imprenditoria presso il Babson College. Ha ottenuto anche la certificazione CFA.

Sandeep Rao

Research
Sandeep è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2020. È responsabile della ricerca sulle linee di prodotto esistenti e nuove, su asset class e strategie, con particolare riguardo all’analisi degli eventi attuali ed i loro sviluppi. Sandeep ha una lunga esperienza nei mercati finanziari. Iniziata in un hedge fund di Chicago come ingegnere finanziario, la sua carriera è proseguita in numerose società ed organizzazioni, nel corso di 8 anni – da Barclays (Capital’s Prime Services Division) al più recente Index Research Team di Nasdaq. Sandeep detiene un M.S. in Finanza ed un MBA all’Illinois Institute of Technology di Chicago.

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