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Light Revenue Forecast Overshadows Subscriber Jump

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Netflix’s second-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street’s expectations, leading to an almost 9% drop in its shares. Despite adding 5.9 million new streaming customers from April through June and exceeding earnings predictions, the revenue miss and a weaker third-quarter revenue forecast overshadowed the positive news.

Its nearly 6 million subscriber additions outpaced the 1.9 million that Wall Street expected, reaching a total of 238.4 million subscribers worldwide as of the end of June.

Quarterly revenue climbed 2.7% from a year earlier to $8.2 billion, shy of analyst forecasts of $8.3 billion. The company estimated third-quarter revenue would reach $8.5 billion vs. Wall Street forecasts of $8.7 billion.

To combat market saturation in the United States and increasing streaming competition, Netflix has been exploring new revenue sources. The company introduced a cheaper tier with advertising and cracked down on password sharing to encourage paid accounts. However, while the subscriber base expanded, average revenue per member declined due to the lower prices in some regions.

Although Netflix’s password-sharing initiative showed early success, it limited opportunities for price hikes, which had previously driven revenue growth. As a result, Netflix’s stock faced short-term pressure, but the move could lead to future revenue growth.

The streaming giant remains optimistic about accelerating revenue growth in the second half of the year. It plans to create compelling shows and movies, improve monetization, expand its video game business, and enhance user experience.

The company’s focus on long-term revenue growth strategies and its dominance in the streaming industry continue to position it ahead of its competitors. However, investors are urged to temper their expectations given the company’s maturing market and the challenges in the streaming industry.

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Source: TradingView

Netflix’s clampdown on password sharing is turning out to be more of a long-term bet than many investors realized. And while the earnings results are causing some short-term pressure, and revenue acceleration might take longer than originally thought, the short-term weakness might provide a good entry point for long-term investors.

Netflix has further revenue opportunities ahead thanks to its removal of the basic tier of service in its core markets. The company is still in a far stronger position compared to rivals and remains the benchmark. It’s worth noting that Netflix is still in its own league, having built a profitable streaming model while its legacy media competitors struggle to do so in an increasingly difficult environment.

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Violeta Todorova

Senior Research

Violeta è entrata a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2022. È responsabile dello svolgimento di analisi tecniche e ricerche macroeconomiche ed azionarie, fornendo pregiate informazioni per aiutare a definire le strategie di investimento per i clienti.

Prima di cominciare con LS, Violeta ha lavorato presso diverse società di investimento di alto profilo in Australia, come Tollhurst e Morgans Financial, dove ha trascorso gli ultimi 12 anni della sua carriera.

Violeta è un tecnico di mercato certificato dall’Australian Technical Analysts Association e ha conseguito un diploma post-laurea in finanza applicata e investimenti presso Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, dove è stata docente per diversi anni.

Julian Manoilov

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Oktay Kavrak

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È entrato in LS da UniCredit, dove è stato responsabile delle relazioni aziendali per le multinazionali. La sua precedente esperienza è in finanza aziendale e amministrazione di fondi in società come IBM Bulgaria e DeGiro / FundShare.

Oktay ha conseguito una laurea in Finanza e contabilità ed un certificato post-laurea in Imprenditoria presso il Babson College. Ha ottenuto anche la certificazione CFA.

Sandeep Rao

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Sandeep è entrato a far parte di Leverage Shares nel settembre 2020. È responsabile della ricerca sulle linee di prodotto esistenti e nuove, su asset class e strategie, con particolare riguardo all’analisi degli eventi attuali ed i loro sviluppi. Sandeep ha una lunga esperienza nei mercati finanziari. Iniziata in un hedge fund di Chicago come ingegnere finanziario, la sua carriera è proseguita in numerose società ed organizzazioni, nel corso di 8 anni – da Barclays (Capital’s Prime Services Division) al più recente Index Research Team di Nasdaq. Sandeep detiene un M.S. in Finanza ed un MBA all’Illinois Institute of Technology di Chicago.

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