NVIDIA produces chips that power generative artificial intelligence (AI), a
type of AI that can create new content, such as text and images, in
response to user prompts. That’s the kind of AI underlying ChatGPT,
Google’s Bard, Dall-E and many of the other new AI technologies.
The stock has been on a stellar bull run over the past seven months, thanks
to investors’ positive outlook on generative artificial intelligence and
its dominant positioning in that space. The company’s specialty in graphics
processing units (GPUs) and their implications toward undergirding
innovations and AI, and machine learning has attracted investors’ interest
in recent months.
The share price is up a staggering 287% from its October 2022 low to its
all-time high of $419.38 posted on Tuesday, which helped the company to
reach $1 trillion market cap that day. Following outstanding earnings
update last week the technology stalwart gapped up strongly, gaining more
than 30% in a day; however, it formed an island reversal pattern, which
points to a likely consolidation or a pullback in the short-term.
NVIDIA reported cracking earnings and a strong revenue forecast for the
year ahead, smashing Wall Street estimates. Fuelled largely by the recent
boom in AI, the earnings report fuelled the share price higher, lifting
NVIDIA’s position as one of the largest publicly traded company in the
world.
After reaching extremely overbought momentum levels on Wednesday, the rally
has fizzled out and the price closed 5.68% lower, as investors engaged in
some profit-taking. The deep pullback is not unusual, as any sharp and
sudden rallies usually reverse quickly as traders trim profits. The
pullback in NVIDIA shares was also helped by the disappointing outlook from
rival C3.ai Inc. which sparked a selloff in its shares. AI software firm
C3.ai fell more than 20% in U.S. premarket trading on Thursday, extending
Wednesday’s drop of 9%.
NVIDIA now trades at around 45 times forward PE, but it had traded at a
multiple of 62x on the 18 th of May, a week before the company’s
quarterly update. Although NVIDIA represents a promising tech bandwagon
aligned with the next generation of digital innovations, in the short-term
the stock is strongly overbought and due to correct either in time or in
price.
Source: Tradingview
As long as minor support of $366 holds the share price is likely to unwind
its overbought momentum conditions in time, which means the stock is likely
to trade in a narrow range in the coming weeks. Should the price break
below its support, the island reversal pattern would be confirmed and
further weakness to $340 could be seen.
Overall, the primary up trend is in full swing and at this juncture in time
the charts point to a short-term retreat, which is seen as healthy for the
sustainability of the long-term bull run. Permabears should not get too
excited as the long-term outlook for the share price remains positive.
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